England vs Australia – 3rd ODI: Pre-match Analysis

England vs Australia – 3rd ODI: Pre-match Analysis

Match Details:

England vs Australia

June 19, 2018

Trent Bridge, Nottingham

Venue

The amount of construction work in and around Trent Bridge has cut off any sort of breeze at the venue,which in turn has increased the swing on offer. Though the pitch will not have too much grass, there will be enough movement in the air to keep the quick bowlers interested.

There might be a little bit of juice early on, but that should not stop England from batting first as the batsmen from the home side have the skills to survive the early onslaught. Without the likes of Mitchell Starc and Josh Hazlewood in the team, the Australian bowling looks meek – and the home team would be eager to put a high score on the board again in the third game.

Preview

England notched up another convincing win in the second game after they scored 342/8 in the first innings. Although Australia, led by Shaun Marsh’s 131, got close to the target, they eventually fell short by 38 runs.

Having suffered a loss in the first ODI as well, the Aussies are 0-2 down and a win in the third game is crucial if they want to stay alive in the five-match series.

Australia have lost 6 out of 7 games against England this year and have only 2 wins in their last 15 ODI games, which is a huge cause for concern considering the World Cup is less than a year away.

England on the other hand showed why they are the number one side in the world by outplaying the Tim Paine-led side in all areas. Though Australia threatened to reach the target of 343 in the second ODI, the English bowlers pulled things back to drown the visitors’ chances of a memorable win. They will head to Trent Bridge riding a huge wave of confidence and momentum.

Head to Head

Total matches – 144

England – 58 wins (40%)

Australia – 81 wins (56%)

Form:

England – LWLWW (decent form)

Australia – LWLLL (poor form)

Last Match’s Playing XI and possible changes:

England

Jason Roy, Jonny Bairstow, Alex Hales, Joe Root, Jos Buttler (C& WK), Sam Billings, Moeen Ali, David Willey, Liam Plunkett, Adil Rashid, Mark Wood

Probable changes for this match – Eoin Morgan for Sam Billings. Captain Morgan had to miss the second game after he suffered back spasms on the morning of the second ODI. If fit, he is likely to return in place of Billings.

Australia

D’Arcy Short, Travis Head, Shaun Marsh, Marcus Stoinis, Aaron Finch, Tim Paine (C & WK), Glenn Maxwell, Ashton Agar, Andrew Tye, Kane Richardson, Jhye Richardson

Probable changes for this match: Nathan Lyon for Ashton Agar.Agar has looked ordinary with the ball even as his spin counterparts Moeen Ali and Adil Rashid have impressed with their slower deliveries. He has not picked up a wicket in the series so far, and Lyon could come into the gamein his place.

Top point scorers

England

Liam Plunkett(94 points) – The pacer hustled the opponents in the second game, picking up 4/53 in 9.1 overs. He troubled the batsmen by varying his pace and his length constantly. Plunkett picked up 3/42 in 8 overs in the first game too, and has been crucial in the death overs.

Moeen Ali (81.5 points) – Moeen Ali has been brilliant with the ball in the first two ODIs, picking up 5 wickets at an economy rate of 4.5. He has troubled the opponents with his tight lines, constantly cramping them for room. Ali won the Man of the Match award for his figures of 3/43 in the first ODI.

Australia

Shaun Marsh (95.5 points) – Marsh, making a comeback into the national side after a year, scored a well-paced 131 in 116 balls in the second game. Coming in to bat with his side struggling at 24 for 1 and needing 343 for a win, Marsh did the improbable by taking his team across the 300-run mark. However, with the target within reach, he was bowled by Plunkett after an innings that had 10 fours and three sixes.

Andrew Tye (72 points) – The fast bowler was the most successful Australian bowler in the first match, picking up 2 wickets at 4.2 runs an over. Though he was expensive in the second, giving away 9 runs per over, he handed his team the crucial wickets of Jason Roy and Sam Billings.

Doubtful pick

Michael Neser (AUS) @ 8 credits

Neser was dropped for the second game to accommodate an extra batsman in the Australian side. The visitors have a brittle batting unit in the absence of Steven Smith and David Warner, and even though Neser’s replacement D’Arcy Short failed in the second game, he is likely to keep his place. In that case, Neser is likely to miss out again.

Around 27.28% of teams had Neser for the last game.

Value pick

Mark Wood (ENG) @ 8.5 credits

Considering the inadequacies of the Australian batting order against quality bowling, Mark Wood seems like a good pick. Though he has only taken 2 wickets in the two games, he bowled economically in the first, giving away just 4 runs an over. With conditions likely to aid swing bowling early on and with the Australian openers Short and Head looking iffy, Wood could be a solid buy.

11.25% teams picked Wood for England’s last ODI.

Suggested team balance

The track will have something for the fast bowlers in the first half hour of play, so it would make sense to pick 2-3 pacers. However, it is likely to be a good batting wicket once the initial threat is over, and a number of big-hitting batsmen would add value to the side. Considering Australia’s struggles against spin in the series, slower bowlers from England should be given a look-in too.