ENG vs AUS 4th ODI: Pre-match analysis

ENG vs AUS 4th ODI: Pre-match analysis

England vs Australia4th ODI

Preview Match Details:

England vs Australia

June 21, 2018, 18:30 IST

Riverside Ground, Chester-le-Street

Venue

With steady rain being a strong feature of Durham, the pitch has traditionally assisted the fast bowlers. With seam movement and variable bounce to be found, the track has almost always been a green top. However, with the home team having a number of big-hitters, rumour has it that the management is in favour of flat tracks before the World Cup next year.

All three matches in the ongoing England-Australia series have been high-scoring encounters, but the track at the Riverside Ground is not likely to allow the home side the same amount of liberty with the bat. Anything around 290 should be par at a ground like this.

Preview

Australia’s woes in the shorter formats continue as they lost the third ODI by a huge margin of 242 runs. Asking England to bat first, the bowlers were unable to find their momentum as the English openers Jason Roy and Jonny Bairstow made merry. With Alex Hales getting into the act as well, England registered the highest ever ODI score of 481. The visitors would be hoping to set aside the memories of that carnage as they take the field again in less than two days.

However, just 2 wins in their last 16 games is not a record that the World Cup defending champions would be proud of. Over the course of the last one year, they have lost their way with both bat and ball, and no unit seems to click in tandem.

With the series already lost, the most that Australia can hope for is to turn the wave of poor form aside and notch up two pride-saving wins. That could give them some confidence when they land in England for the World Cup next year.

The home side, on the other hand, have showed in this series why they are the number one side in the world. However, with Durham expected to be a little less friendly for the batsmen, Eoin Morgan would be hoping that his bowlers – who have hardly had a say in the series so far – can exploit the conditions.

Head to Head

Total matches – 145

England – 59 wins (41%)

Australia81 wins (56%)

Form

England – WLWWW (good form)

Australia – WLLLL (poor form)

Last Match’s Playing XI and possible changes:

England

Jason Roy, Jonny Bairstow, Alex Hales, Joe Root, Eoin Morgan (capt), Jos Buttler (wk), Moeen Ali, David Willey, Liam Plunkett, Adil Rashid, Mark Wood

Probable changes for this match: Jake Ball in for David Willey and Tom Curran in for Liam Plunkett. Both Plunkett and Willey have a busy schedule ahead and with the series already won, it is likely that the Curran and Ball will replace the duo.

Australia

D’Arcy Short, Travis Head, Shaun Marsh, Marcus Stoinis, Tim Paine (capt and wk), Glenn Maxwell, Ashton Agar, Aaron Finch, Andrew Tye, Billy Stanlake, Jhye Richardson

Probable changes for this match: Nathan Lyon for Ashton Agar. Nathan Lyon should probably have been selected ahead of Agar before the first ODI itself. Seeing the way Moeen Ali and Adil Rashid have been going about their business and Agar’s inability to replicate the same, the experienced Lyon is expected to enter the fray.

Top point scorers

England

Jonny Bairstow (147 points) – Bairstow scored 139 from just 92 deliveries in the third ODI, with 15 fours and 5 sixes. He scored 42 in the second ODI and the opener, along with Roy, has been giving his team ideal starts. His innovative shots make him a dangerous player at any stage of the game.

Moeen Ali (133 points) – Moeen Ali has been phenomenal with the ball in the series so far, picking up 8 wickets in three matches. While his Australian counterpart Agar has struggled, Ali has impressed with his accuracy and his wrong-un’s.

Australia

Shaun Marsh (110.5 points) – Marsh has been the only positive for Australia with the bat in the series, scoring 131 in 116 balls in the second ODI. With his side needing 343 for an improbable win, it was Marsh’s efforts that got them close to the target. However, lack of support from the other end caused the inevitable loss.

Ashton Agar (88 points) – The left-arm orthodox spinner was included in the team to bamboozle the opponent batsmen, but with only 1 wicket in the series, he has let his side down. He has picked up his performances with the bat, scoring 40 and 46 in the first two games, but that is unlikely to be enough to prevent him from being dropped for Lyon in the fourth clash.

Doubtful pick

Sam Billings(ENG) @ 8 credits

Billings came into the side to replace Morgan in the second game after the skipper suffered back spasms on the morning of the match. Morgan did return for the third game and Billings was dropped as a result. With the English batsmen on a rampage against the Aussies, the management will be hesitant to change the batting unit and in all likelihood, Billings will miss out again.

Around 1.86% of teams had him in the Dream11 team for the last game.

Value pick

Jason Roy (ENG) @ 8.5 credits

Jason Roy started the series with a duck but picked up in the next two games, scoring 120 off 108 balls in the second game and 82 off 61 in the third. He is in terrific form and with the Australian pacers lacking any kind of sting, Roy is expected to rule in the fourth game as well. Even if the quicks do get some help, Roy has the experience of sticking around and playing according to the situation, which is what makes him a must-have.

59.44% teams picked Roy for England’s last ODI in their Dream11 side.

Suggested team balance

The track will be unlike the pitches that we have seen in the series, so having at least 3 pacers is a must. That said, the English batsmen have the potential of navigating through unhelpful conditions as well, and it would be foolish to not pick at least 3 batsmen from the home team.

Considering Australia’s struggles against spin, having a slower bowler from the home side is also a no-brainer.